Monday, 3 March 2014
Warren Buffett : How to spend $145billion
Sunday, 26 February 2012
Buffett bites back
Brits power Buffett profits
Wednesday, 27 July 2011
2012 : The Year of the Churn
It is particularly galling that existing customers will continue to pay trail commission on their newly written contracts – introduced just before the ban – potentially for several decades.
Saturday, 26 February 2011
There's something weird about Warren
Warren Buffet's annual letter to share holders is out today and well worth the time spent reading it. (http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2010ltr.pdf).
Well the number one weird thing is the share price. $100000 plus. And part of the reason for that is the way Warren Buffet measures Berkshire Hathaway's (ie his) performance.
You won't find net income given much shrift as a useful figure - in fact it's booted into the long grass. But Warren's favourite metric - growth in annual per share book value - now has a competitor. The rolling five year return.
From 1965-2010 there are 42 five-year periods. Berkshire Hathaway beat the S&P in every period. This is a stellar performance. Not only that: the S&P had six negative periods in that time (nominally at least, the after-inflation picture would be less rosy). Berkshire had none. It was safer and more profitable than the index.
How did they do it?
Here's one quote from the letter:
'At Berkshire, managers can focus on running their businesses: They are not subjected to meetings at headquarters nor financing worries nor Wall Street harassment. They simply get a letter from me every two years and call me when they wish.'
They don't teach that at Harvard.
Wednesday, 5 January 2011
Pensions: the 10% cashback
Saturday, 4 December 2010
Jam today or jam tomorrow?
Thursday, 19 August 2010
A pension on £10 a day
Tuesday, 17 August 2010
Factor30 and the 10k pension
The Graham formula
Benjamin Graham also says
Tuesday, 1 June 2010
Benjamin Graham says
Thursday, 13 May 2010
In the mix: annuities, bonds and SIPPs
- you lose money if you die early
- your savings are invested at low yields (gilts), possibly for decades
Vanilla smoothie
Three kinds of 4%
So how much can you safely withdraw each year? Well the answer depends on your life expectancy and your future investment returns. Both are very uncertain, so much attention has been given to finding the 'safe withdrawal rate' even allowing for poor stock market returns, and increased longevity.
The standard answer is around 4%.
But there are three kinds of 4% withdrawal on - say - a $100,000 pot. (We are talking dollars here because its in the USA that this has been studied most).
1 Take $4000 a year index linked. So it goes up with inflation.
2 Take $4000 every year - flat rate.
3 Take out 4% of your pot whatever its size.
Option 1 is the toughest to maintain, option 2 is usually what is meant by the 4% rule, option 3 is the 'safest'. Where safety means you will never run out of money (although you might run short of money).
The vanilla pensioner goes for option 3, despite its drawbacks which are:
- your income will bounce up and down with the value of your fund; and
- it doesn't allow for the fact that as you get older, you should be able to withdraw a higher percentage from your fund
And that is the serious drawback of options 1 and 2 - blithely taking $4000 a year even though your fund may have dropped to $60 000.
Friday, 30 April 2010
Will half a million cover it?
This article puts the cost of retirement for a pensioner couple around £500 00 (£600 000 in London).
the average household needs £564,227 to cover the cost of the first 20 years after quitting the workforce. The calculation is based on annual household expenditure for those aged 65 to 74 at £23,107.